Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.187443 0.217354 0.250490 0.289925 0.335585 0.386806 0.448650
2025-08-10 0.136876 0.175840 0.223567 0.286347 0.366812 0.466581 0.599863
2025-08-17 0.107279 0.147997 0.201482 0.276913 0.380682 0.518635 0.716395
2025-08-24 0.092451 0.135169 0.194569 0.283245 0.412482 0.594350 0.870522
2025-08-31 0.080011 0.123010 0.185818 0.284315 0.435221 0.658303 1.014397
2025-09-07 0.071028 0.114216 0.180137 0.288171 0.461250 0.728629 1.174932
2025-09-14 0.061677 0.103325 0.169497 0.282385 0.470768 0.773717 1.300440
2025-09-21 0.054685 0.095152 0.161879 0.280030 0.484782 0.826538 1.443626
2025-09-28 0.049706 0.089611 0.157739 0.282646 0.506894 0.894464 1.619500
2025-10-05 0.047278 0.088139 0.160223 0.296807 0.550348 1.003208 1.879224
2025-10-12 0.044420 0.085482 0.160211 0.306293 0.586191 1.101983 2.131939
2025-10-19 0.041652 0.082620 0.159418 0.314080 0.619506 1.199343 2.392810
2025-10-26 0.038357 0.078420 0.155779 0.316277 0.642942 1.281834 2.637326
2025-11-02 0.034728 0.073123 0.149427 0.312388 0.653961 1.341649 2.844386
2025-11-09 0.030892 0.066911 0.140499 0.302094 0.650501 1.371737 2.993132
2025-11-16 0.029144 0.064875 0.139856 0.309003 0.683799 1.480844 3.322586
2025-11-23 0.027059 0.061843 0.136748 0.310171 0.704715 1.565858 3.609213
2025-11-30 0.025431 0.059626 0.135125 0.314378 0.732731 1.669115 3.948833
2025-12-07 0.023164 0.055670 0.129195 0.308065 0.735973 1.717362 4.166848
2025-12-14 0.021394 0.052667 0.125087 0.305495 0.747592 1.785856 4.440852
2025-12-21 0.020147 0.050774 0.123342 0.308349 0.772482 1.888007 4.808824
2025-12-28 0.019767 0.050974 0.126596 0.323802 0.830041 2.074642 5.409787
2026-01-04 0.019093 0.050349 0.127764 0.334152 0.875969 2.237780 5.970382